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We often think of journalism as a process of answering questions. But many questions don’t have yes or no answers. The language of probability gives us a way of talking about uncertainty without just shrugging our shoulders. I'll talk about Nate Silver and his critics; will possibly quote John Ashbery and Teddy Roosevelt; will definitely try to convey something of the mathematician's view on "to what extent and in what fashion can newswriting be a quantitative enterprise"